Election Day 2024: Betting odds reveal who’s ahead between Trump v Harris – as tech issues cause chaos at the polls

Election officials have reported that several ballot scanners are down in Cambria County in the swing state of Pennsilvania.

Voters have shared footage of people standing in line as the voting process was interrupted by the technical issues.

Voters began casting their ballots with polling stations open from 5am in Vermont and 6am in multiple states.

At 6pm Eastern Time on Tuesday, the first polls will close in Indiana and Kentucky.

Then the U.S. will wait as the ballots are counted across the country and the tension begins to find out who will be the next President of the United States. For some states, the result will be announced as soon as the voting stops.

But for others – especially the seven battleground states of Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina – it could take hours or even days until we find out the winner.

DailyMail.com has laid out everything you need to know – hour by hour – about the drama that will unfold – including when the polls close in each state, who is predicted to win and when to expect a result.

Betting market Kalshi now has Donald Trump with a 60 percent chance of winning the election.

It’s three points higher for Trump than Kalshi’s Monday prediction.

A local reporter in Queens, New York, has reported that several scanning machines are not working properly across the burough.

Voters in Texas wait in the rain

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

A storm system is moving across the Midwest from Texas to Canada and will affect the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin as the cold front brings in bad weather.

A possible weak tornado could hit southern Wisconsin today, according to the National Weather Service. Rain, thunder and high winds have already hit that part of the state. In Milwaukee, rain is in the forecast through 8 p.m. Polls close at 9 p.m.

Rain is also expected across most of Michigan. Detroit is seeing a breezy 60 degrees and cloudy skies at the moment but rain could come this afternoon.

Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania are part of Kamala Harris’ ‘blue wall’ – a victory in those three states would hand her the White House.

Pennsylvania is seeing beautiful weather but long lines at polling places as officials expect record turnout in the state.

Cloudy skies in Detroit where it could rain later this afternoon

For the rest of the battleground states, Arizona is expected to see beautiful weather as is Nevada.

Georgia and North Carolina could see rain late in the day.

In Texas, voters stood in the pouring rain, waiting to cast their ballot. Some polling stations in Missouri were flooded.

Parts of the Deep South will see record-high temperatures in the 70s and 80s, according to The Weather Channel.

Meanwhile, snow and possible blizzard conditions are forecast for parts of the Northwest including Oregon, Washington, Idaho, and Montana.

Long lines but beautiful weather in Pennsylvania

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent in Cincinnati, Ohio

Trump’s running mate JD Vance just voted in his hometown of Cincinnati. His wife Usha and children looked on as he talked to the press afterwards.

He said he felt good abouy the way the result was headed and admitted he missed a call from the former president at 3am because he was in bed, asleep while Trump was flying back from his final event.

He was asked what he could do to heal the political divide in the country.

I think our message is, first of all, we do expect to win. But obviously, no matter who wins, half the country, as you said, is going to be at least partially disappointed. I think my attitude is the best way to heal the rift in the country is to try to govern the country as well as we can, create as much prosperity as we can for the American people, and remind our fellow Americans that we are all fundamentally on the same team, however we voted.

Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Atlanta for DailyMail.com

The pollster Nate Silver has released his final prediction of the 2024 election.

As of 12:30 am Tuesday and after 80,000 model simulations, Democrat Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump in just a hairsplitting 50.015% to Trump’s 49.985%.

That equates to Harris winning 40,012 simulations to Trump’s 39,718.

The outlying few were electoral ties that eventually resulted in Trump victories due to the House of Representatives’ involvement in the process in the case of a 269-269 electoral college draw.

The nail-biting race is one of the closest in history and is likely to be decided by a couple of thousand votes in smatterings across swing states.

Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Nevada and Michigan will all be closely watched today as votes trickle in. Those states are the crucial swing states that will ultimately decide the outcome.

The Republican senator voted Tuesday morning at the St Anthony of Padua Maronite Catholic Church in Cincinnati.

He arrived with his wife Usha and their children.

‘Look, I feel good. You never know until you know, but I feel good about this race,’ Vance said after he and his wife cast their ballots.

Vance said he would depart for Palm Beach, Florida, later today to be with Donald Trump as results come in.

NFL owners have donated around $30million to political parties and causes ahead of this year’s seismic presidential election.

Poling stations opened at 8amEST in Arizona, Iowa, Louisiana. Minnesota, South and North Dakota, Oklahoma, Texas and Winsonsin.

Members of a running group below arrive at a polling station to drop off their ballots in Phoenix, Arizona, on Election Day.

People are seen voyting inside of a polling station in downtown Phoenix, Arizona, below.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Kamala Harris returned to Washington D.C. in the early hours of Tuesday morning after her closing rally in Philadelphia.

She was accompanied by her husband Doug Emhoff, sister Maya Harris and brother-in-law Tony West, niece Meena Harris and her husband Nikolas Ajagu, and grand nieces Amara and Leela.

Harris is spending Election Day at the Naval Observatory, the vice president’s residence in Washington D.C., where she will call into radio interviews in several battleground states.

She will hold an election night rally at Howard University, her alma mater.

J.L. Partners has its final update for our election model this morning. And it is a big deal, wiping out much of Trump’s advantage from the past month and moving the whole thing squarely back into tossup territory.

Trump is predicted to win in 54.1 percent of simulation making our final call a TOSSUP TRUMP RACE – this is a drop of 6.3 points since yesterday, and a drop of almost 15 points since last week, based on a slew of Pennsylvania polls that were better for Harris, and which send ripples throughout the Blue Wall.

The most likely result gives Trump 287 Electoral College Votes to Harris’ 251. The election will hinge on Pennsylvania with 59 percent of simulations decided by this state.

There is major movement in the seven swing states that will decide the election:

In Arizona, Trump’s win probability has decreased by 2.5 points to 79.4 percenyt. It has moved from STRONG TRUMP to LIKELY TRUMP – undoing yesterday’s reclassification

Georgia saw Trump’s win probability decrease by 2.8 points to 73.9 percent and it remains a LIKELY TRUMP state.

Michigan saw Harris’ win probability increase by 3.9 points to 67.2 percent. It is now a LEAN HARRIS state.

Nevada saw Trump’s win probability decrease by 3.5 points to 57.6 percent, undoing some of yesterday’s increase. The state has shifted from LEAN TRUMP to TOSSUP TRUMP.

North Carolina saw Trump’s win probability decrease by 4.1 points to 71.3 percent. The state remains a LIKELY TRUMP state.

Pennsylvania saw Trump’s win probability decrease by 6.6 points to 55.2 percent. The state has shifted from LEAN TRUMP to TOSSUP TRUMP.

Wisconsin has seen a 6.1 point movement against Trump and Harris’ win probability sits at 67 percent. The state remains LEAN HARRIS.

Callum Hunter writes in his final briefing note:

Our final prediction is only certain in how uncertain this race is. It is likely going to be one of the closest races in modern US political history. The Sunbelt states seem fairly likely to fall into the Trump camp, with Nevada the closest state within this group. Meanwhile, Michigan and Wisconsin seem likely to go to Harris leaving Pennsylvania as the deciding state. Places like Erie county are likely to decide this election with fewer than 15,000 votes deciding the winner. This election is the political equivalent of the Battle of Waterloo – with Trump finally returning from his 2020 enforced exile. The question is, can he marshall his troops on the Pennsylvanian battlefield to carry the day or will the overwhelming ground game of the Harris-Walz campaign sweep him aside? Our model suggests the former is slightly more likely, but anything is still possible. If you want to know who will win the election, go grab a quarter and flip it.

The Vice Presidential hopeful was interviewed in a Philadelphiacoffee shop for the  segment.

The relaxed affair saw the two play a game of paper football as they chatted about Walz and Kamala Harris‘ plans for an ‘opportunity economy’.

• Kalshi has Trump’s odds of winning Tuesday at 57 percent.

A poll worker reported they were having issues with their tablet at a polling location in Hamilton County, per Fox59.

The issue was apparently fixed shortly after a 17-minute delay.

Jon Michael Raasch, Political Reporter in Atlanta for DailyMail.com

House GOP Chairwoman Elise Stefanik said she is confident Donald Trump will win because of his surging numbers among women.

‘Trump is doing better with women than Kamala Harris is doing with men,’ House GOP Chair Elise Stefanik noted during an interview with CBS.

She said she has ‘zero concerns’ about the Republican’s fitness to lead and believes his pitch down the stretch has resonated with all Americans.

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Pete Buttigieg argued a vote for Kamala Harris is a vote to have a ‘normal Republican Party again.’

The Transportation Secretary pointed to the divisiveness Donald Trump has brought to the other of the aisle as he appealed to GOP voters to cast their vote for Harris.

‘A vote for Kamala Harris is, I think, a vote for someday, having a more normal Republican Party again,’ he told CBS This Morning.

‘I think a lot of us just don’t want to feel like politics is punching us in the face,’ he added.

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent aboard Trump Force Two

At first it seems like a filibuster. Of course J.D. Vance knows the price of a gallon of milk, he insists.

‘I do. I think. Right now?’ he says, sitting beside wife Usha on his campaign jet, nicknamed Trump Force Two.

‘I know the answer to this question very well. Are we talking about organic? Are we talking about the DC area… the Ohio area? Because at Kroger, the price of a gallon of milk, my guess is about $3.60 a gallon. Check, check if that’s right.’

A swift fact check ensues as staffers fiddle with phones, looking up the price at the Vance’s’ nearest store.

The answer comes back: $3.29, which is not bad for a former venture capitalist-turned-senator who now has to live inside a Secret Service bubble as running mate to Donald Trump.

‘If it wasn’t for him (Musk) we’d be f***ed,’ Rogan wrote on X just hours before the polls open.

‘He makes what I think is the most compelling case for Trump you’ll hear, and I agree with him every step of the way.

With millions of voters in all 50 states casting ballots in the November 5 presidential election a final DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners national poll shows Trump with a lead that matches the survey’s margin of error, a trend in his favor but still a statistical dead heat.

That leaves the fate of the White House to a handful of so-called battleground states where the race still are polling as if they could could go either way on November 5 although there may be some telling trends within the polls.

Regardless of who wins the popular vote, the next president must win the Electoral College, which has a set of electors per state who select a candidate based on state results.

The tiny New Hampshire township of Dixville Notch, first in the nation to vote, saw a tie before Harris and Trump.

The town opened and closed its polls just after midnight EST, as is tradition, with four Republicans and two undeclared voters participating.

After 12 minutes of counting, the results showed three votes for Harris and three votes for Trump.

Back in 2020, Joe Biden won all the votes. In 2016, Hillary Clinton received four votes, Trump two and Gary Joghson one.

As the rivals have focused their efforts on securing votes in the battleground states that could determine the outcome of the election, Hollywood A-listers have been hoping their endorsements can sway the public.

Showbiz royalty, including Oprah and Beyoncé, have accompanied Harris, 60, on stage at her campaign events, urging voters to turn up at the polls.

People have lined up since the early hours of Tuesday to vote in the state of Pennsylvania, widely seen as critical to winning the White House.

Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin are also seen as crucial in the path to victory.

People line up to vote outside of a polling station in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania on Election Day.

Philadelphia County board of elections staff are sworn-in before processing ballots at the ballot counting election warehouse on the outskirts of Philadelphia.

Jones, who worked for President Obama, told CNN on Monday that the final days of the 2024 election have looked eerily similar to Hillary Clinton‘s devastating loss in 2016.

‘The other thing that makes me nervous, in 2016, we had a big star-studded event right on the edge of the election, and we lost the state,’ Jones said.

‘I don’t think people understand, working people sometimes have to choose. Am I going to go to the big, cool concert and pay for babysitting for that or am I going to figure out a way to get to the polls? I don’t like these big star-studded events.’

Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump both spent the waning hours of their campaigns in the well-trodden swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, widely seen as critical to winning the White House.

Harris wrapped her day in Philadelphia, where Lady Gaga sang ‘God Bless America’ and Oprah Winfrey appeared on stage with first-time voters. Ricky Martin, who is from Puerto Rico, was also there to draw out Puerto Rican voters turned off by a comedian who called their homeland a “floating island of garbage” at a recent Trump rally.

‘Our people-powered movement reflects a simple and undeniable truth: that we are all in this together,’ Harris said.

Harris didn’t arrive at the vice president’s residence, the Naval Observatory, until 1:41 a.m.

Trump, meanwhile, spent the final hours of the day in Grand Rapids, Michigan, wrapping up around 2 a.m.

• Former president Trump landed back in Florida just hours ago after finishing his last rally after 2 a.m.
• He is expected to await the electoral results with his family at his residence in Mar-A-Lago in Palm Beach.
• The Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump is seen speaking at his last campaign rally at Van Andel Arena in Grand Rapids, Michigan, below

• As of 7am EST, polls have opened in over 25 states – Delaware, DC, Washington, DC, Florida, Georgia Illinois, Kansas MarylandMassachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Connecticut, New Jersey, New York, New Hampshire and Virginia.Indiana and Kentucky and Maine.

A man seen above votes at PS 20 Anna Silver Elementary School, on Election Day for the 2024 U.S. presidential election in Manhattan, New York City.

A resident of Dixville Notch shows their ID above as they check in to cast their ballots in the US election at midnight in the living room of the Tillotson House at the Balsams Grand Resort, marking the first votes in the US election, in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire.

• Tens of millions of Americans having already cast their ballots. Those include record numbers in Georgia, North Carolina and other battleground states that could decide the winner.
• As of Monday, Associated Press tracking of advance voting nationwide showed roughly 82 million ballots already cast – — slightly more than half the total number of votes in the presidential election four years earlier.
• The early turnout in Georgia, which has flipped between the Republican and Democratic nominees in the previous two presidential elections, has been so robust — over 4 million voters — that a top official in the secretary of state’s office said the big day could look like a “ghost town” at the polls.

DailyMail.com was with Vance on ‘Trump Force Two’ as he slugged it out on the final hours of the campaign trail in a desperate bid to clinch victory.

There was beer, donuts, a lot of iced coffee and some surprising admissions from the VP hopeful.

Among his admissions was the one thing he never talks about with ‘superstitious’ Trump.

Read more here:

The first result came in last night in the tiny town of Dixville Notch in New Hampshire, where residents honored a tradition of casting ballots at the stroke of midnight.

But the result was an ominous forecast of what is one of the closest races in history – 3 for Trump, and 3 for Harris.

While a tie, it’s a sharp swing away from the Democrats.

In 2020, five of the voters went for Biden, with only one voting red.

Read more:

Americans are braced for civil unrest amid scary predictions of ‘blood’ during today’s knife’s-edge presidential election, reviving painful memories of recent assassination bids and chaos after the 2020 vote.

On Monday, Businesses in Washington, DC boarded up their windows as security fencing went up around the White House, US Vice President Harris’s residence, and other key buildings in the capital.

Election workers have prepared for gun attacks, amid a flurry of threats to blow up political offices and other sensitive sites ahead of election day.

Washington state has activated some members of the National Guard to be on stand-by, while a Democratic congressman has warned ‘there may be blood’ resulting from clashes between angry voters.

Read more here:

By DailyMail.com pollster and founder of J.L. Partners James Johnson

Over the last six months I have traveled the swing states.

Two debates, two hurricanes, and countless interviews later, we have arrived at Election Day.

Because American political opinion is so diverse – and so polarized – there is no one type of swing voter who will determine the outcome.

Instead, the result hinges on several groups who, depending on how they move, will put Kamala Harris or Donald Trump in the White House.

This is the cast that will decide the election:

In what could be one of closest elections in U.S. history, the difference between the candidates could not be more stark.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have laid out two visions for America that are poles apart during the unprecedented 2024 campaign for the White House.

The rivals have each painted one another as extreme. They both warn their opponent will be a disaster for America.

When it comes to the economy, foreign policy, immigration, crime, abortion and taxes, both candidates have set out grand plans that would provide a crucial indicator of how the next four years will look like.

DailyMail.com has put together a guide to show where the candidates stand on a number of crucial policies that matter most to American voters.

It may go down as the closest race in presidential history.

As polling booths are flooded on Tuesday, the race will be essentially out of the candidates’ hands during the excruciating wait for the results to come in.

Here, we have put together an exhaustive guide detailing what Harris and Trump will be watching for as the drama unfolds.

For there are multiple scenarios which will leave them within touching distance of grabbing the keys to the White House.

See our interactive guide to how Harris and Trump can find a path to the White House courtesy of Dailymail.com’s Deep Dive team.

Millions of voters are heading to the polls today to cast their ballots, but it could take some time to count the results.

What could give anxious Americans across the country some sense of where the country is headed is the exit polling which comes out as the results are coming in on Election Day.

The exit poll is the only survey conducted entirely of voters who have already cast their ballots in the election.

It gives voters and news organizations a better sense of what is happening on the ground with voters on Election Day and in early voting as the results come in.

The polling is conducted by Edison Research, which has been the only research firm to conduct national exit polling in the United States since 2004.

Here’s how it works: