Daily Archives: November 4, 2024

“There will definitely be no peace in 24 hours”: a political scientist explained how Trump’s election victory will affect the war in Ukraine. Video

If Republican Donald Trump will win the US elections, he will not be able to end Russia’s war against Ukraine in 24 hoursas he promised in his election speeches Because it will be very, very difficult to reach an agreement and the main problem will be the Kremlin dictator. Vladimir Putin.
A political scientist shared the corresponding opinion Vladimir Fesenko in an interview with OBOZ.Talk. He drew attention to the impact of the American elections on the situation in our country.

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“If Trump wins the US elections – and I talked to one Western journalist, she joked (but, unfortunately, this is serious) that there are two options in this election: either Trump wins or Trump does not recognize the election results“This, by the way, will also be a problem for us,” Fesenko said.
In the case of the second option, there is a risk of crisis, internal confrontation in the United States, and prolongation of the situation. This will create problems for America, for us, for Taiwan, and for the international situation.
If Trump is elected head of the United States, then, with a high probability, he will first informally, informally try to initiate negotiations to end the war.

“But then the questions begin,” the political scientist noted.
At one time – before officially taking office – Trump will have the status of president-elect, that is, he will not have an official mandate to negotiate.
“But nevertheless […]To whom will he give this function – to negotiate? With Putin and with us. About the end of the war. This is a problem. A lot depends on this.
Under what conditions can he propose to end the war? I’ll venture a guess. At least two conditions. This is the end of the war along the front line (what is called a freeze). And the second condition – it already concerns us – is the refusal of Ukraine’s membership in NATO. And here it doesn’t matter whether we agree or not – Trump will say,” the expert predicted.
“I I fully assume, with a very high probability, that Trump can initiate negotiations, but there will definitely not be peace in 24 hours and it is not a fact that there will be peace in 24 weeks. Because reaching an agreement will be very, very difficult, very difficult, and the main problem will be Putin.“, he emphasized.
Fesenko recalled that recently another aggressive post from Dmitry Medvedevformer Russian President, and now Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation
“And there were, of course, such offensive statements addressed to Kamala Harrisbut there was also a certain aggression shown towards Trump. And even those, you know, veiled threats – however, there can be different interpretations. Medvedev wrote that JFK’s fate may await Trump if he proposes a quick peace – the murdered American president… Trump, by the way, may not like this,” the political scientist noted.
Fesenko suggested that if the Russian Federation refuses Trump’s conditions, then the Republicans can continue to help Ukraine, but in the Lend-Lease format, that is, a loan. Because Trump “counts money” and will be against gratuitous support from Kyiv.
“By the way, under Trump there is a risk of reducing assistance to Ukraine, at least macroeconomic,” he noted.
“But if Putin is too capricious and does not want to make concessions, does not want to accept Trump’s peace plan, indeed, there is a possibility that there may be a gesture of increasing support for Ukraine. Exactly how much can be done – I don’t dare to predict now, because it can be different. I think that it is not clear what the United States can do in this direction,” the political scientist admitted.
There is also an interesting option being discussed in the Trump team, and even the presidential candidate himself once said about it – collapse the price of oil.
“How effectively it will be implemented is another matter – I’m not sure about that. Well, it won’t work out soon. It’s not like that.”
But nevertheless, the fact that such an idea is being discussed is, firstly, warning to Russians: they say, if you resist, you say “no, we won’t accept, you accept our conditions,” well, we also have the opportunity to put pressure on you, and we will do it. This is a warning—for now a warning—to the Russians. Well, if not, then yes, Trump will be forced to act against Russia,” Fesenko believes.

He recalled the paradox: Trump sincerely sympathizes with Putin, wants to come to an agreement with him, but when the Kremlin dictator does not agree, Trump is forced to take steps to protect US national interests. This was the case when he was president.
“And despite Trump’s desire to come to an agreement with Putin, relations between the United States and Russia are deteriorating under Trump. And they are deteriorating significantly. This is such a paradox,” the political scientist noted.
As OBOZ.UA reported:
– On Tuesday, November 5, the 60th presidential election in US history will take place. The fight is between Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump.
– As of November 4, the average odds in bookmaker ratings were 56% for Trump and 42.9% for Harris.

We have only verified information in our Telegram channel OBOZ.UA and Viber. Don’t be fooled by fakes!

Cargo ship launched to space station with science gear, holiday treats

SpaceX launched an unpiloted Dragon cargo ship Monday evening, an election eve flight to deliver three tons of crew supplies, science gear and other equipment to the International Space Station, including an unusual wooden satellite, a solar wind monitor and holiday fare for the lab’s crew.The Dragon’s Falcon 9 rocket blasted off from historic launch pad 39A at the Kennedy Space Center at 9:29 p.m. EST, lighting up the night sky for miles around as it climbed away atop 1.7 million pounds of thrust.

A SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket streaks toward space after launch from the Kennedy Space Center, carrying an unpiloted Dragon cargo ship into orbit carrying 6,000 pounds of supplies and equipment bound for an Election Day rendezvous with the International Space Station.

NASA/SpaceX

After boosting the rocket out of the dense lower atmosphere, the first stage, making its fifth flight, peeled away, reversed course and headed back to an on-target landing at the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station while the second stage continued the climb to space.

The landing marked SpaceX’s 57th successful booster recovery at the Florida Space Force station and its 363rd overall, including California flights and droneship landings.

The Falcon 9’s first stage boosted the rocket out of the dense lower atmosphere and then fall away, restarting three of its nine engines (bright dot at top center) to begin reversing course to head back to Cape Canaveral for landing. In this tracking camera view, the exhaust plumes of both stages interacted in spectacular fashion in the low pressure of the extreme upper atmosphere as the second stage (right dot at lower center) continued the climb to orbit.

Spaceflight Now

Just under 10 minutes after liftoff, the vacuum-optimized engine powering the Falcon 9’s second stage shut down and one minute later, the Dragon was released to fly on its own. If all goes well, it will catch up with the space station Tuesday morning and move in for docking at the lab’s forward port at 10:15 a.m.

One of the first items on the agenda is a test Friday to determine the Cargo Dragon’s ability to boost the space station’s orbit slightly using its aft-facing thrusters. The ISS is routinely re-boosted by Russian Progress freighters and Northrop Grumman Cygnus cargo ships, but Friday’s test will be a first for SpaceX.The California rocket builder is under contract to NASA to build a powerful space tug of sorts that can be used to safely drive the ISS back into the atmosphere when the lab complex is retired in the 2030 timeframe. The vehicle is needed to make sure the station breaks up over a stretch of ocean well away from populated areas and shipping lanes.During the test Friday, the Cargo Dragon’s aft thrusters will fire for about 12 minutes.”The data that we’re going to collect from this reboost and attitude control demonstration will be very helpful, informing SpaceX analyses on how the system performs,” said Jared Metter, SpaceX director of flight reliability. “This data is going to lead to future capabilities, namely the US de-orbit vehicle.”

Reboost aside, the Cargo Dragon is loaded with slightly more than 6,000 pounds of equipment and supplies, including 2,022 pounds of science gear, 2,119 pounds of crew clothing, food and other supplies, 377 pounds of spacewalk equipment, 525 pounds of space station hardware and 44 pounds of computer equipment.One of the more unusual payloads: Lignosat, a small wooden satellite using a framework of magnolia panels built by researchers at Kyoto University in Japan and the Tokyo-based logging company Sumitomo.

An experimental satellite built with a framework of magnolia will be studied to determine how it withstands the temperature extremes in space to determine if wood might provide a sustainable material for use in future space systems.

STR/JIJI PRESS / AFP via Getty Images

“While some of you might think that wood in space seems a little counterintuitive, researchers hope that this investigation demonstrates that a wooden satellite can be more sustainable and less polluting for the environment than conventional satellites,” said Meghan Everett, the ISS deputy project scientist.”The main objective here is to determine whether wood can be used in space, and to do this, researchers will measure the temperature and strain of the wooden structure and see how it might change in the vacuum environment of space with atomic oxygen and radiation conditions as well.”As with all station-bound Dragon cargo ships, the crew supplies include fresh food and special treats for holiday meals.Bill Spetch, ISS operations and integration manager, said the “food kit” includes “citrus, apples, sweet onions, blueberries, radishes, etc,” along with lobster, crab and quail for holiday meals. A variety of cheeses is on board as well as fresh coffee and personal items requested by each crew member.Mounted in the Dragon’s unpressurized trunk section is the Coronal Diagnostic Experiment, or CODEX, an instrument that will be mounted outside the space station to learn more about how charged particles in the solar wind are heated to millions of degrees and accelerated to enormous velocities, affecting Earth’s space environment and the rest of the solar system.

Inside the station, the astronauts will have a variety of new experiments and instruments to operate and monitor, including one called ARTEMOSS that will examine how Antarctic moss tolerates the space radiation and microgravity environment to learn more about how plants might be used in future life support systems.The European Space Agency is sending up a space exposure experiment to learn more about how high-tech materials respond to prolonged exposure to the weightless environment and another experiment to study how organic samples degrade when exposed to unfiltered ultraviolet light from the sun.And in an experiment that could be particularly useful to future astronauts, a small device known as Nanolab Astrobeat, provided by the Malta College of Arts, Science and Technology, will test cold welding technology that could prove useful for repairing leaks or other damage from inside a spacecraft.The Cargo Dragon is expected to remain docked at the space station for about a month before it returns to Earth with station components needing refurbishment, trash and other no-longer-needed items.