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Create model using AI and machine learning that can predict outbreaks more than two months in advance
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=> Moderate rains (up to 150 mm in a week) increase dengue deaths because they cause stagnant water that mosquitoes use to breed
[altText] => Moderate rains (up to 150 mm in a week) increase dengue deaths because they cause stagnant water that mosquitoes use to breed
[description] => Moderate rains (up to
150 mm in
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dengue deaths because they cause stagnant water that mosquitoes use to
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Moderate rains (up to 150 mm in a week) increase dengue deaths because they cause stagnant water that mosquitoes use to breed
#New Delhi
Dengue infections and deaths increase when temperatures go above 27 degrees Celsius and rainfall is moderate and spread out over a period, according to a new study.
The study also reveals very heavy rainfall (more than 150 mm in a week) can wash away mosquito eggs and larvae, lowering the risk of dengue.
Researchers Sophia Yacob and Roxy Mathew Koll from the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pune, examined how temperature, rainfall, and humidity affect dengue in Pune, a major hotspot of the disease.
They found that dengue infections and deaths increase when temperatures go above 27 degrees Celsius, rainfall is moderate and spread out over time and humidity is between 60 and 78 per cent during monsoon (June–September).
The scientists created a model using artificial intelligence and machine learning that can predict dengue outbreaks more than two months in advance. This allows local authorities and health departments to prepare in time and reduce the impact of the disease.
The study shows moderate rains (up to 150 mm in a week) increase dengue deaths because they cause stagnant water that mosquitoes use to breed. Heavy rains (more than 150 mm in a week), however, reduce dengue by washing away eggs and larvae.
Monsoon rainfall in India has active (wet) and break (dry) phases. Years with fewer active and break phases (meaning rainfall is more evenly spread out) see higher dengue cases and deaths. Years with more of these phases (meaning more rain in short bursts) see fewer dengue cases and deaths, the scientists found.
PTI
This post was originally published on here
