5:00 a.m. poll position poll position What the Polls Got Right and Wrong in the 2025 Elections By Ed Kilgore Polls underestimated the Democratic vote in New Jersey and Virginia and missed a Republican collapse in New York City.

… marquee contests in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City.
In the New Jersey gubernatorial race, the … by 15 percent. But the Washington Post–Schar, Echelon Insights, and … .2 percent. Two well-reputed California pollsters underestimated the popularity of …