An exhibition of Iranian and Turkmen travel companies opened in Ashgabat

A joint exhibition of Iranian and Turkmen tourist companies opened yesterday in the exhibition gallery of the State Academy of Arts of Turkmenistan.

The opening was attended by the Iranian Ambassador to Turkmenistan, representatives of the media, students and invited guests, IIC reports.

The exhibition also included a ceremony to sign cooperation agreements between Iranian and Turkmen companies, which opens up new opportunities for the development of joint projects in the tourism industry of both countries.

As the Iranian Ambassador to Turkmenistan noted, relations between Iran and Turkmenistan have strengthened over the past year.

The exhibition has become an important platform for strengthening the tourism potential and intercultural dialogue between the two countries.

Fordham Hosts Time for Change Political Science Talk

The American Politics Forum in Fordham University’s political science department hosted a talk by Alan Abramowitz from Emory University on his Time for Change election forecast model and the difficulties of accurately predicting the results of U.S. presidential elections on Oct. 11. 
Early on in his talk, Abramowitz made it clear that any election forecast model can only predict the results with limited certainty. “There’s absolutely no way you can know with a high degree of confidence what’s going to happen,” Abramowitz said. He discussed how different models and methods operate and their strengths and weaknesses.
Abramowitz covered public opinion polling, pundit forecasting and statistical forecasting models. All three methods rely upon polls, or self-reported information from respondents about how they have voted or how they think they will vote, which Abramowitz stressed can be inaccurate for a variety of reasons. He pointed out how election forecasting and polling have both gotten more difficult in recent elections. He partially attributed this to the difficulty of accurately polling certain voting demographics who are less likely to respond to polls, such as rural voters, voters without a college degree and supporters of former President Donald J. Trump. 
However, smaller inaccuracies in polling are usually not as impactful when the winning candidate wins the popular vote by a large margin. Only in recent elections, in 2000 and again in 2016, has the winner of the popular vote failed to win 270 Electoral College votes, an event Abramowitz referred to as an Electoral College “misfire.” When the election comes down to a number of swing states with razor-thin margins of victory, as will likely happen in the 2024 presidential election, it is more difficult to reliably predict the result.
Abramowitz went on to describe his election forecasting model, the Time for Change model, and how it is different from other election forecasting models. Professor Abramowitz’s model is a static model, meaning he makes a single prediction of the result of the election at one point in time, as opposed to dynamic models that frequently update their predictions as election-related data changes over time. Abramowitz said he used a static model because the accuracy of these models usually does not increase past a certain point, usually three to four months before the election. Abramowitz’s Time For Change model takes into account three reliable pieces of data: the estimated growth rate of real gross domestic product in the second quarter of the election year, the approval rating of the incumbent president in June of the election year and the length of time the incumbent’s political party has controlled the White House. 
Abramowitz said he chose to include the length of time the incumbent’s political party has controlled the White House as his Time For Change variable because, in recent years, American voters have shown a preference for candidates that represent a change from the incumbent. When the incumbent’s political party has only controlled the White House for four years, they have won seven times and lost twice. When the incumbent’s political party has controlled the White House for eight years, they have won four times and lost six times. Abramowitz also said that he incorporated economic data from the summer rather than waiting until closer to the election because it can take time for economic trends to be felt by average consumers. Abramowitz went on to share that his model predicts Vice President Kamala Harris will win 284 Electoral College votes and a margin of 2.8% in the popular vote. His model predicts she has a 76% chance to win the national popular vote and a 58% chance to win the Electoral College, slightly edging out Trump.
Abramowitz emphasized that election forecasting is an imperfect science, particularly in this election. While he predicts Harris will win the national popular vote by a decent margin, he predicts an 18% chance of an Electoral College misfire. The Electoral College has a known Republican bias, as it gives more weight to voters in sparsely populated Republican states and less weight to voters in densely populated Democratic states. The chance of an Electoral College misfire has been, in U.S. history, relatively low. Before 2000, the last misfire was in 1888. However, it has become a national issue as our country becomes more politically polarized and the chance of a misfire increases. When asked what he hoped people would take away from his model, Abramowitz explained “how intractable the problem is of trying to forecast the outcomes of these recent elections because of the closeness of the elections, the Electoral College and the Electoral College bias we’ve had favoring Republicans.” He described the Electoral College as a problem because “it undercuts the legitimacy of the system” and is “a fundamentally undemocratic institution.”
“I enjoy giving these sorts of presentations [and] meeting with groups of students and academics. It gives me a good perspective of what’s going on in other places,” Abramowitz said. 
Professor Jacob Smith, who organized the American Politics Forum at Fordham this year, explained what the political science department hopes to provide students with these events. “We thought that Professor Abramowitz’s Time for Change model would be of interest to students and the broader Fordham community… We want to make sure to engage students in the process leading up to this year’s election,” Smith said. For those who want to know more, the American Politics Forum will also have a lunchtime event in the McShane Student Center, Room 259, at noon on Oct. 31 where students can come and ask questions about the election.

Business in Fashion and Luxury Hosts Event at The Boss Store at Columbus Circle

Fordham University’s Business in Fashion and Luxury (BiFL) association recently hosted a networking event at The Boss Store at Columbus Circle near Fordham’s Lincoln Center campus. Following the event, Gabelli School of Business students had the opportunity to build their business wardrobe by exploring Hugo Boss’ three-story location. Two guest panelists were present: Robyn Carter, founder and CEO of Jump Rope Innovation, and Brian Choi, CEO of The Food Institute.
In an event managed by Nina Show, president of BiFL, and Nial Stevensen, vice president of events and communications at BiFL, Carter and Choi responded to prompts and took questions from an audience of students. When asked by Show, Choi began the conversation by reflecting on Hugo Boss’ motto of having a “#BOSSMINDSET.”
“A true boss is someone who has people who want to follow you,” said Choi. Choi, who worked in private equity and investment banking before becoming an entrepreneur, noted that passion and commitment were important to have as a boss and in the job itself.
“Life is too short to just chase a paycheck,” Choihe said. “Being a boss means you are giving back to the community, your folks, partners, and investing in the next generation. We use different sources to hone in on how the future of the food and business industry is going to evolve.”
Questions were also raised by Show about the rise of influencer marketing as a potential field of entry for Gabelli students. “Influencers are a great resource when we think about innovation, as they constantly have their finger on the pulse of what’s happening,” said Carter.
Stevensen also sparked a conversation about Gen Z and millennials’ impacts on this new field. “Gen Z wants the real story and they want it fast,” said Carter.
Show shifted the conversation to discussions on Environmental Social and Governance (ESG) and business sustainability. “Sustainability is something that is increasing in intensity over the last couple of years,” said Choi. “For-profit organizations should keep sustainability front and center, and conversations are rising across boards.”
Choi noted that, even though some companies are becoming more ethically sustainable, others are more hypocritical. “Some companies say they are sustainable, but when you look at what they’re doing, it is all talk,” said Choi. “Consumers can see through it.”
Carter described how businesses need to make their sustainable products just as good as previously trusted brands. “They have to do jobs as well as conventional businesses and give people this other opportunity,” said Carter. “This is why Native is doing so well.” Native has increasingly marketed their products that have the same benefits as traditional body and hair care products, without the dangerous chemicals.
Artificial intelligence is also a growing controversy in the business world, and Carter noted that it does have its benefits and implications. “It can’t help us get to the answer, but it can help us refine our answer,” said Carter.
The panel concluded with Choi and Carter each sharing some business challenges they faced while rising to their titles. Choi, who acquired The Food Institute in Jan. 2020, was hit by the COVID-19 pandemic almost immediately upon entering the field. “We had to figure out very quickly how we were going to make an old and stagnant print publication work in the modern age,” said Choi.
Within two months, he was able to convert his team to a fully virtual environment using Microsoft Teams. Adapting to the new technology was slightly more difficult for Carter and Jump Rope Innovation. “We thought, ‘let’s not panic,’ and if we kept our hands on the wheel, things would be fine,” she said. She retained a commitment to three principles: people, not panicking and giving to clients. “We came through that time stronger than before.”
Following the presentation, students had the opportunity to tour the Hugo Boss store and select business professional merchandise, ranging from pantsuits to shirt and tie combinations.
Several undergraduate and graduate students, including Nicholas Casula, MBA ’25, voiced their opinions on the event. “I really enjoyed the talk back with Robyn Carter and Brian Choi,” said Casula. “There was an impactful discussion on using social media influencers for research and development of new products based on emerging trends.”
“First of all, thank you to the panelists for arranging this event, I never thought I would have the opportunity to chat with an actual CEO,” said Zincheng Chen, GSB ’28. “This is the perfect week for my Ground Floor class since we just moved onto the Business Plan Project, and the panelists gave very strong feedback on how I can stand out in the final presentation.”

Catch-up with the US or prosper below the tech frontier? An EU artificial intelligence strategy

Executive summary
European Union policymakers want to close the artificial intelligence innovation gap with the United States, as a way to accelerate lagging productivity growth. The EU focus is on expanding an existing supercomputer network with more AI hardware and computing infrastructure, with taxpayer support. However, this computing infrastructure is not adapted to AI modelling. The cost of catching up with leading big tech AI computing centres is already prohibitive for EU budgets, and is set to become even more so.
The hardware focus overlooks missing EU markets for complementary services that are required to set up a successful AI business: large-scale business outlets for frontier generative AI models to generate sufficient revenues to cover huge fixed model training costs, hyperscale cloud-computing infrastructure and private equity financing for AI start-ups. In the absence of (or with insufficient) complementary services markets in the EU, start-ups are forced to collaborate with US big tech firms. Injecting taxpayer subsidies to make up for these missing markets may further distort EU markets. Regulatory compliance costs, including uncertainty about the implementation arrangements for the EU Artificial Intelligence Act, add to market problems.
The EU should address a wider range of market failures in its policy initiatives. It should strive to increase productivity growth below the AI technology frontier, by facilitating investment and applications of AI-driven services produced by derived and specialised generative AI models, or AI-applications that build on top of existing generative AI models. Building these below-frontier AI applications requires far less computing capacity and less heavy investment costs. Promoting the uptake of AI application services across a wide range of industries can substantially stimulate productivity growth.
That requires a razor-sharp focus on pro-innovation guidelines, standards and implementation provisions for the EU AI Act, shortening the Act’s regulatory uncertainty horizon as much as possible, and facilitating collaborations between EU AI startups and big tech companies. Widening and deepening the EU private equity and venture capital market would also be very helpful.
About the Author
Bertin Martens is a Senior fellow at Bruegel. He has been working on digital economy issues, including e-commerce, geo-blocking, digital copyright and media, online platforms and data markets and regulation, as senior economist at the Joint Research Centre (Seville) of the European Commission, for more than a decade until April 2022.  Prior to that, he was deputy chief economist for trade policy at the European Commission, and held various other assignments in the international economic policy domain.  He is currently a non-resident research fellow at the Tilburg Law & Economics Centre (TILEC) at Tilburg University (Netherlands).

Professor Discusses New Book About ‘Spiritual Criminals’ of the Vietnam War

Loyola history professor Michelle Nickerson talks about her book “Spiritual Criminals: How the Camden 28 Put the Vietnam War on Trial.”

Loyola history professor Michelle Nickerson presented her new book, “Spiritual Criminals: How the Camden 28 put the Vietnam War on Trial” Oct. 16 at an event co-sponsored by the History Department, Theology Department and Peace, Justice and Conflict Studies. 

Nickerson’s book, published in August, follows the story of the Camden 28, a group of Catholics who burglarized a Vietnam draft board in Camden, NJ in 1973. After three months at trial, all 28 people were found not guilty of breaking in, stealing and destroying draft files.

The event, held in Coffey Hall’s McCormick Lounge, included Nickerson’s presentation and a Q&A session. Nickerson’s books were also available for purchase.

Nickerson said she started writing the book in 2012 and 2013. Since Nickerson is from Camden she said she would often visit home to work on the research.

“We would go and spend the whole summer at my parents,” Nickerson said. “My mom would take care of my kid or we would drive him to camp and I would do research. It worked out really well.”

Despite growing up in Camden, Nickerson said she had never heard of the Camden 28 until she watched a documentary about it.

“I couldn’t believe it,” Nickerson said. “I grew up 15 miles away and I never heard this story, never heard about any of this and this is my church. And what a story.” 

The Camden 28 were unique because they walked away free despite being caught red-handed by the FBI, she said.

“The story of the Camden 28 captured me,” Nickerson said. “It is a story of people who essentially used moral suasion to convince a jury to acquit them.” 

Nickerson said she wanted to use her book to tell a largely unknown story of ordinary people who affected history.

She was able to take a few semesters off to work on the book through the Faculty Fellowship offered by the Gannon Center for Women and Leadership. The Hank Center for Catholic Intellectual Heritage financially supported Nickerson’s travel and the transcription of interviews.

Nickerson’s presentation gave the historical and religious context for the trial and Catholic anti-war movement, the Catholic Left. Second Vatican Council from 1962-1965 and the issuing of the Rerum Novarum, a encyclical issued by Pope Leo XIII in 1891 led some Catholics in the U.S., including Jesuits, to seek religious reform. Most of the participants of The Camden 28 were raised Catholic, according to Nickerson.

The presentation included Catholic history and the inspiration for the anti-war movement. (Ashley Wilson | The Phoenix)

“As part of their political awakening and their adulthood, they broke mostly from the church,” Nickerson said. “I think a lot of people have to make a decision at that point in time. They didn’t see any reason to participate in organized religion, but that was their world. Those were the people they knew. They felt very at home in the culture of the movement.” 

Nickerson’s earlier book, “Mothers of Conservatism: Women and the Postwar Right and Sunbelt Rising: The Politics of Place, Space, and Region” focuses on conservatives in the 1950s and 1960s before American escalation in Vietnam. She said she was inspired by her colleagues who were able to write about the intersection of history and theology.

“I thought it was really effective and compelling for helping people to understand the mind of conservatives,” Nickerson said. “I really was excited by the possibility of writing a book about religion, and maybe even about my own religion. So when this presented itself, I was like ‘This is perfect. I want to go there.’” 

The book is dedicated to her uncle, Ronald Nickerson, and to her dad, E. Allen Nickerson. Ronald enlisted in the army not expecting to be deployed and died in Vietnam in 1965, according to Nickerson. Nickerson said she grew up hearing about Vietnam.

Robert Di Vito, chairman of the Theology Department, attended some of the Woodstock parties Nickerson described as part of the Catholic Left movement. The Woodstock Theological Seminary was a movement where some Jesuits moved their seminary to New York City and chose to lead more independent lives, according to Nickerson’s book. 

“It was a very exciting time, especially for somebody in the church,” Di Vito said. “We wanted to change the world and this was part of it. I think it still fires a lot of us. It was more a question of what it meant to be a Jesuit or Christian in the world. A lot of things got wild at times, but that was part of the learning.”

A theme of the evening was the intersectionality of history and theology and how theology has influenced people historically. The talk included a discussion on how the interpretation of Catholicism impacted people and politics.

“This talk by Michelle Nickerson demonstrated again how theology and religion have long been a part of our political discourse in this country,” Di Vito said. “That is certainly true today when in the current election we see the language of Christian nationalism is everywhere.”

Randall Newman, program coordinator for the Theology Department, said he helped organize the event after talking with Nickerson about her book and the Catholic Left.

“I don’t know that a lot of students, even in spite of the core, understand how important it is to understand the role of religion when it comes to various aspects of our public life,” Newman said. “This really exemplifies that.”

Mara Brecht, associate professor and assistant chair of the Theology Department, introduced the event and encouraged students to pick up a theology major or minor.

“Without telling stories like that of the Camden 28, theology might seem to operate only in the rarified air of the academy, or the local cathedral,” Brecht wrote in an email to The Phoenix. “But no. Theology matters and theology can change the course of history. History enriches theology and — maybe even more than that — makes a demand of theology.”

Nickerson said she doesn’t feel the calling to protest in the same way the Catholic Left did in the ‘60s. But she is still influenced by them and sees their ideas at Loyola today in Cura Personalis. 

“I wrote about them because they inspire me,” Nickerson said. “They focus my attention on the principles of Catholic Social Teaching. They force me to think about where I am addressing and incorporating those principles into my daily life. It makes me attentive to the mission of Loyola.” 

Amber Smith, an exchange student from Deakin University in Australia, attended the event with a friend and had little prior knowledge about the U.S. during Vietnam.

“It was interesting to hear the distinction between the right Catholic and the left Catholic,” Smith said. “As someone who isn’t really involved in religion, I hadn’t really considered that as a potential before. It hadn’t really crossed my mind that there was a difference.”

Nickerson said she will continue to speak and educate people and students about the Camden 28 and she is in the process of turning the story into a podcast.

Tom Holland finally confirms that Spider-Man 4 is happening – and reveals when filming will start

Tom Holland has officially confirmed that he’s starring in Spider-Man 4 during an appearance on The Tonight Show – and that filming is kicking off next summer.”There is some chatter that Spider-Man 4 is happening, and that you’ll be back as Spider-Man,” host Jimmy Fallon said. Holland nodded and smiled. “Can we confirm this tonight?” Fallon asked. “It’s happening,” Holland replied. “Next summer, we start shooting. Everything’s good to go, we’re nearly there. Super exciting. I can’t wait.”There’s been talk of a fourth Spider-Man movie pretty much ever since No Way Home swung onto the big screen back in December 2021, but updates have been few and far between until this year. Last month, it was revealed that Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings helmer Destin Daniel Cretton is in early talks to direct, taking over from Jon Watts, who helmed the most recent Spidey movie trilogy. Now, we have confirmation that Holland is confirming, although it remains to be seen whether Zendaya and any other returning cast members will also be back.Marvel has just added three undated movies to its slate for 2028, so one of these is likely to be Spider-Man 4. The shake-up also removed the MCU’s Blade movie, most recently scheduled for release on November 7, 2025, from the studio’s release calendar altogether. While we wait for more updates on Spider-Man 4, make sure you’re up to date with the MCU with our guides to the story so far in Marvel Phase 5 and a look at what’s to come in Marvel Phase 6. Bringing all the latest movie news, features, and reviews to your inbox